Tuesday, January 15, 2013

Beating the Market With Orlando

ROGER KIMBALL:  SANDY WRECKED OUR HOUSE BUT BUREAUCRATS ARE KEEPING IT WRECKED

GOT MOUSE?

A PANEL OF SO CALLED STOCK-PICKING EXPERTS HAVE BEEN UPSTAGED BY A GINGER FELINE NAMED ORLANDO. This clip from The Guardian says it all:
The Observer's panel of stock-picking professionals has been undone in our 2012 investment challenge by a ginger feline called Orlando who spent time paw-ing over the FT. The Observer portfolio challenge pitted professionals Justin Urquhart Stewart of wealth managers Seven Investment Management, Paul Kavanagh of stockbrokers Killick & Co, and Schroders fund manager Andy Brough against students from John Warner School in Hoddesdon, Hertfordshire – and Orlando. Each team invested a notional £5,000 in five companies from the FTSE All-Share index at the start of the year. After every three months, they could exchange any stocks, replacing them with others from the index. By the end of September the professionals had generated £497 of profit compared with £292 managed by Orlando. But an unexpected turnaround in the final quarter has resulted in the cat's portfolio increasing by an average of 4.2% to end the year at £5,542.60, compared with the professionals' £5,176.60. While the professionals used their decades of investment knowledge and traditional stock-picking methods, the cat selected stocks by throwing his favourite toy mouse on a grid of numbers allocated to different companies.
Are there take-home lessons here? Perhaps. Like don't take yourself or your expertise too seriously. Josh Brown has more @ The Reformed Broker---Chasing the Cat. 

I won't be replacing my money guys anytime soon no matter what!

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